Holbæk vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.4%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.3%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
1.4%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
3.4%
9.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.5%
86.1%
Win probability
3.18
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.9%
0-2
11.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.8%
0-3
11.8%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.1%
0-4
9.4%
1-5
3.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
-4
13.9%
0-5
6%
1-6
2%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
8.3%
0-6
3.2%
1-7
0.9%
2-8
0.1%
-6
4.2%
0-7
1.4%
1-8
0.4%
2-9
0%
-7
1.8%
0-8
0.6%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0%
-8
0.7%
0-9
0.2%
1-10
0%
-9
0.2%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Holbæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2016 |
HVI
2 - 1
HOL
68%
19%
13%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
HOL
2 - 3
B93
28%
25%
48%
|
47 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
FRE
1 - 0
HOL
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2016 |
HEL
3 - 1
HOL
49%
24%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
HOL
1 - 2
BRØ
30%
25%
45%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
BIF
1 - 0
AGF
52%
25%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2016 |
AGF
1 - 1
ACH
57%
23%
20%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2016 |
OBK
2 - 1
AGF
39%
26%
35%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
FCK
2 - 0
AGF
64%
21%
15%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2016 |
AGF
1 - 1
MID
32%
26%
42%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |