Países Bajos U21 vs Noruega U21 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.3%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
15.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Países Bajos U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ISR
1 - 2
NED
35%
26%
39%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2013 |
CRO
2 - 3
NED
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
NED
2 - 0
SVK
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2012 |
SVK
0 - 2
NED
31%
26%
43%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2012 |
NED
4 - 1
AUT
63%
21%
15%
|
76 | 66 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Noruega U21
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 0
NOR
47%
23%
30%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2013 |
ESP
5 - 2
NOR
74%
17%
10%
|
67 | 85 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 1
RUS
31%
25%
45%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | +1 |
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
TUR
2 - 0
NOR
50%
25%
24%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
5 - 3
FRA
20%
25%
55%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | +1 |