Netherlands U19 vs Wales U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.3%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
17.3%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.3%
10.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Netherlands U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
NED
3 - 0
MDA
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 40 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
NED
2 - 3
ESP
19%
23%
58%
|
65 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
NED
1 - 4
POR
38%
25%
37%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jul. 2013 |
LTU
2 - 3
NED
7%
17%
76%
|
66 | 37 | 29 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2013 |
GER
0 - 1
NED
60%
21%
19%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Wales U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2013 |
GEO
5 - 1
WAL
63%
21%
17%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2012 |
RUS
2 - 1
WAL
69%
19%
13%
|
46 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
2 - 1
SVN
36%
25%
39%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2012 |
WAL
1 - 3
SWE
36%
25%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2011 |
SVN
3 - 2
WAL
55%
22%
23%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | -1 |