Hoi King vs South China AA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
31
2º
11º
7º
38
3º
9º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
50 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 39 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
38 | 38 |
4º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
37 | 37 |
5º
|
79.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 35 |
6º
|
90.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
93.5% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
85% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
91.5% | |
|
12º
|
17 | 17 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 11 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi King
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
KWL
2 - 1
HOI
54%
24%
22%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
CAA
2 - 2
HOI
37%
23%
40%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
HOI
0 - 1
NDT
18%
22%
60%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
YOK
0 - 3
HOI
14%
19%
68%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2021 |
CAA
1 - 1
HOI
42%
23%
36%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
South China AA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
WIN
1 - 2
SCA
55%
21%
24%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
SCA
1 - 2
SHA
44%
24%
32%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
SCA
3 - 1
WON
81%
13%
7%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
ISK
3 - 2
SCA
66%
19%
16%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2021 |
SCA
4 - 0
CAA
68%
18%
14%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |