Hoi Fan vs Policia SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.4%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoi Fan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
VCM
0 - 0
HFM
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
HFM
2 - 0
MAC
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
HLM
1 - 3
HFM
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
VCM
2 - 2
HFM
50%
23%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2008 |
HFM
0 - 0
VLM
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Policia SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
PSP
2 - 0
GDA
67%
19%
14%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
PSP
0 - 1
WAK
48%
24%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2009 |
GLP
1 - 0
PSP
54%
23%
23%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2008 |
HTM
1 - 3
PSP
46%
25%
30%
|
30 | 28 | 2 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
PSP
1 - 1
VLM
43%
24%
32%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |