AD Hogar Alcarreño vs Miguel Esteban AD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.7%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
25.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
HAL
0 - 0
COB
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
2 - 2
HAL
37%
22%
41%
|
17 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
2 - 2
YEL
43%
22%
35%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
NOB
3 - 3
HAL
58%
20%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
HAL
1 - 0
CFA
59%
20%
21%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Miguel Esteban AD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
MES
1 - 0
SCU
81%
13%
7%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
COB
0 - 1
MES
23%
22%
55%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
MES
3 - 0
COB
73%
16%
12%
|
15 | 10 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ALM
4 - 0
MES
22%
21%
56%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -2 |
| 07 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
MES
34%
24%
43%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | -1 |