AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Madridejos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
56.9%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
11%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-43%
-36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
ALC
14%
19%
67%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
ORG
2 - 0
HAL
49%
23%
29%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
BAR
3 - 0
HAL
34%
24%
42%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
HAL
1 - 4
CAB
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | -2 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
YUN
1 - 1
HAL
44%
24%
33%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
CD Madridejos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 May. 2023 |
MAD
1 - 0
ADS
60%
21%
19%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
AZU
1 - 0
MAD
29%
24%
47%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
MAD
2 - 1
CFA
67%
19%
14%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAD
39%
25%
36%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
MAD
9 - 1
BAR
73%
17%
10%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | +1 |