AD Hogar Alcarreño vs CD Qum FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.4%
Win probability
2.62
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.8%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.9%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.3%
8.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AD Hogar Alcarreño
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CDP
0 - 1
HAL
19%
23%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
HAL
2 - 0
CBA
77%
15%
8%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
ADS
0 - 4
HAL
18%
22%
60%
|
23 | 14 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
HAL
1 - 0
HOR
71%
17%
12%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CDE
2 - 1
HAL
13%
20%
67%
|
24 | 12 | 12 | -2 |
Matches
CD Qum FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2021 |
CDQ
0 - 0
CAB
20%
22%
58%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2021 |
YUN
1 - 4
CDQ
71%
17%
12%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +2 |
| 24 Apr. 2021 |
TDR
1 - 0
CDQ
80%
12%
7%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CDQ
2 - 3
CDP
33%
26%
41%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
CBA
4 - 4
CDQ
54%
21%
25%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | 0 |