Hoek vs Swift analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+54%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hoek
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SLI
1 - 2
HOE
24%
22%
54%
|
38 | 25 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
AJA
6 - 1
HOE
52%
23%
25%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
HOE
1 - 2
TER
43%
26%
31%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | -2 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
HOE
1 - 2
JOD
47%
26%
28%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
HOE
3 - 1
ACH
36%
27%
37%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Swift
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
0 - 0
JOD
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2017 |
ACH
1 - 2
SWI
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
SWI
1 - 1
SMI
60%
22%
19%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
ARG
2 - 3
SWI
39%
24%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
SWI
3 - 1
ZWA
53%
23%
24%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | +1 |