Hódmezővásárhelyi vs Budapesti Vasas II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
65.5%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
6.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.2%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.3%
16.2%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+13%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
2º
14º
3º
47
6º
11º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 52 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
9º
|
53.5% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
10º
|
53.5% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
12º
|
68.5% | |
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hódmezővásárhelyi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MSK
0 - 2
HOD
38%
22%
40%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2023 |
PLS
2 - 1
HOD
25%
20%
55%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
HOD
1 - 0
SCG
89%
8%
3%
|
38 | 9 | 29 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
BEK
3 - 1
HOD
67%
19%
14%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2023 |
IVA
4 - 1
HOD
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Budapesti Vasas II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
SZO
3 - 0
BDP
53%
21%
26%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
BDP
1 - 1
MSK
45%
22%
33%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2023 |
SCG
0 - 1
BDP
6%
13%
82%
|
30 | 9 | 21 | +1 |
| 23 Jul. 2023 |
KVS
0 - 2
BDP
44%
22%
35%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2023 |
DOR
1 - 1
BDP
54%
22%
24%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | 0 |