Hochdorf vs Ibach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.1%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
6.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
52.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.4%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.9%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hochdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
LUZ
5 - 2
HOC
51%
21%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
HOC
0 - 4
TEA
28%
22%
50%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
CAS
1 - 1
HOC
46%
23%
31%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
HOC
1 - 0
KUS
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
1 - 2
HOC
80%
12%
9%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Ibach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2016 |
CAS
5 - 1
IBA
31%
24%
45%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
3 - 0
KUS
78%
14%
8%
|
31 | 17 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
GOL
4 - 3
IBA
50%
23%
28%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
IBA
2 - 5
BEL
7%
19%
74%
|
33 | 66 | 33 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
WIL
1 - 2
IBA
25%
22%
54%
|
32 | 20 | 12 | +1 |