Hobro vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.2%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
38.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.9%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.4%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2018 |
SLO
2 - 3
HOB
42%
25%
34%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
ZAL
0 - 0
HOB
52%
24%
25%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2018 |
HOB
2 - 1
SKI
70%
18%
12%
|
73 | 55 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2018 |
MID
2 - 2
HOB
68%
19%
13%
|
73 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
FCN
3 - 2
HOB
61%
22%
17%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2018 |
AGF
1 - 1
JAB
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2018 |
BEI
0 - 2
AGF
36%
25%
40%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
AGF
2 - 1
RIJ
36%
26%
39%
|
75 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2018 |
AGF
2 - 4
VEN
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
AGF
2 - 0
BRA
76%
16%
8%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |