Hobro vs AGF Aarhus analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.9%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.4%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
38.4%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
VEJ
0 - 0
HOB
28%
25%
47%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2015 |
MID
2 - 0
HOB
67%
20%
13%
|
69 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2015 |
HOB
1 - 3
FCN
39%
28%
33%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2015 |
SON
3 - 0
HOB
56%
24%
21%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2015 |
HOB
1 - 1
VFF
52%
25%
23%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
AGF Aarhus
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2015 |
KJE
1 - 8
AGF
5%
12%
83%
|
71 | 30 | 41 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2015 |
AGF
0 - 0
ESB
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Aug. 2015 |
FCK
2 - 2
AGF
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Aug. 2015 |
AGF
2 - 3
AAB
34%
26%
40%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2015 |
OBK
2 - 2
AGF
48%
25%
27%
|
72 | 73 | 1 | -1 |