Hobro II vs Aarhus Fremad analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2%
1-0
2.8%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.1%
75.7%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
11.7%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.9%
1-4
4.9%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.9%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.2%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.8%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobro II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
HOB
2 - 3
IFL
22%
22%
56%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
HOL
0 - 0
HOB
79%
13%
8%
|
23 | 33 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
HOB
1 - 1
VOR
62%
20%
18%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
BRA
1 - 1
HOB
66%
18%
16%
|
23 | 28 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
HOB
2 - 2
LIF
28%
23%
49%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Aarhus Fremad
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2015 |
AAF
2 - 0
HOL
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2015 |
VOR
0 - 3
AAF
9%
15%
76%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | +1 |
| 02 May. 2015 |
AAF
4 - 1
BRA
72%
18%
10%
|
47 | 28 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
LIF
0 - 3
AAF
15%
21%
64%
|
47 | 30 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
AAF
2 - 1
RAN
58%
22%
20%
|
47 | 37 | 10 | 0 |