Hobart Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84%
Win probability
3.1
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.7%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.3%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
8.5%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13%
3-0
11%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%
10.5%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.5%
5.4%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.1%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
KIN
3 - 3
HOB
18%
20%
62%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2013 |
HOB
6 - 2
LAU
88%
9%
4%
|
35 | 7 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 3
HOB
23%
21%
56%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2013 |
HOB
2 - 3
OLY
66%
18%
16%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2013 |
HOB
2 - 2
SOU
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
GLE
3 - 2
LAU
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 7 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 0
GLE
77%
14%
9%
|
18 | 30 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 2
DEV
17%
20%
64%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 3
GLE
61%
20%
20%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
GLE
1 - 4
NOR
43%
23%
34%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |