Hobart Zebras vs Glenorchy Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.7%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.2%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.7%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.1%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.9%
11.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Hobart Zebras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
2 - 3
HOB
19%
21%
60%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2013 |
HOB
10 - 0
LAU
85%
10%
5%
|
29 | 11 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOR
4 - 4
HOB
25%
23%
52%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
HOB
1 - 5
OLY
46%
23%
31%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | -2 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
HOB
1 - 2
SOU
34%
24%
43%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Glenorchy Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
4 - 0
LAU
83%
12%
6%
|
21 | 11 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2013 |
OLY
2 - 1
GLE
75%
15%
10%
|
21 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
GLE
2 - 3
DEV
19%
22%
60%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2013 |
KIN
3 - 1
GLE
27%
23%
50%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
GLE
0 - 5
NOR
64%
19%
17%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | -1 |