Gia Lai vs Ho Chí Minh analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
56.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.5%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
20.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-31%
-24%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
5º
9º
9º
8
12º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
24 | 24 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
23 | 23 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
23 | 23 |
3º
|
0% | |
|
4º
|
21 | 21 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
19 | 19 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
19 | 19 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
19 | 19 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
18 | 18 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
14 | 14 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
14 | 14 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
13 | 13 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 10 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 8 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Gia Lai
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
HAI
2 - 0
HOA
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HOA
1 - 0
HAN
42%
25%
33%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
DAN
1 - 1
HOA
23%
26%
51%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
HOA
2 - 2
THA
42%
26%
32%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
SON
3 - 1
HOA
31%
28%
42%
|
62 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Ho Chí Minh
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2023 |
SON
2 - 1
HCM
44%
27%
29%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2023 |
HCM
5 - 1
DAN
48%
25%
28%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
HLH
4 - 3
HCM
50%
26%
25%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2023 |
HCM
3 - 5
CON
41%
28%
31%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
THA
5 - 3
HCM
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |