HNK Zadar vs Zagora Unešić analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.9%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
22%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
4º
2º
65
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
60 | 60 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
53 | 53 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
45 | 45 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
34 | 34 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 27 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Zadar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
VOD
2 - 1
HNK
16%
22%
63%
|
49 | 33 | 16 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
2 - 0
GOS
79%
15%
7%
|
49 | 36 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 2
HNK
14%
22%
65%
|
49 | 32 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
HNK
1 - 0
USK
70%
18%
12%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
SMR
1 - 3
HNK
21%
25%
54%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Zagora Unešić
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 1
NKG
72%
17%
12%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
ZAG
3 - 0
PRB
71%
18%
11%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
VOD
3 - 5
ZAG
27%
25%
48%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
ZAG
2 - 0
GOS
71%
18%
11%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 2022 |
UBV
0 - 2
ZAG
28%
24%
48%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | +1 |