HNK Zadar vs Kaštel Gomilica analysis

HNK Zadar Kaštel Gomilica
46 ELO 37
12.6% Tilt -6.3%
45752º General ELO ranking 34605º
266º Country ELO ranking 208º
ELO win probability
68.1%
HNK Zadar
18.1%
Draw
13.8%
Kaštel Gomilica

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.1%
Win probability
HNK Zadar
2.31
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.4%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.8%
Win probability
Kaštel Gomilica
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HNK Zadar
+41%
+2%
Kaštel Gomilica

Points and table prediction

HNK Zadar
Their league position
Kaštel Gomilica
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
42
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Zagora Unešić
65
65
100%
HNK Zadar
60
60
100%
Junak Sinj
53
53
100%
Hrvatski Vitez Posedarje
45
45
0%
NK Uskok Klis
45
45
0%
Primorac Biograd
45
45
100%
Neretva
43
43
100%
Kaštel Gomilica
42
42
100%
Vodice
41
41
100%
Sloga Mravince
10º
39
39
10º
100%
Neretvanac
11º
38
38
11º
100%
GOŠK DBK
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Zmaj Makarska
13º
34
34
13º
100%
NK Kamen
14º
31
31
14º
100%
Split
15º
27
27
15º
100%
Urania
16º
25
25
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
HNK Zadar
Kaštel Gomilica
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

HNK Zadar
Kaštel Gomilica
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HNK Zadar
HNK Zadar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 May. 2023
ZAG
Zagora Unešić
0 - 0
HNK Zadar
HNK
52%
23%
25%
45 46 1 0
06 May. 2023
HNK
HNK Zadar
7 - 1
Vodice
VOD
66%
20%
15%
44 38 6 +1
29 Apr. 2023
GOS
GOŠK DBK
3 - 2
HNK Zadar
HNK
16%
24%
60%
45 31 14 -1
22 Apr. 2023
HNK
HNK Zadar
5 - 1
Urania
UBV
84%
10%
6%
45 29 16 0
15 Apr. 2023
USK
NK Uskok Klis
1 - 4
HNK Zadar
HNK
29%
26%
45%
44 35 9 +1

Matches

Kaštel Gomilica
Kaštel Gomilica
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
11 May. 2023
PRB
Primorac Biograd
5 - 2
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
44%
22%
35%
39 37 2 0
06 May. 2023
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
2 - 1
Zagora Unešić
ZAG
22%
24%
54%
37 47 10 +2
29 Apr. 2023
VOD
Vodice
2 - 0
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
42%
22%
36%
39 37 2 -2
22 Apr. 2023
NKG
Kaštel Gomilica
2 - 0
GOŠK DBK
GOS
64%
19%
16%
38 32 6 +1
16 Apr. 2023
UBV
Urania
0 - 1
Kaštel Gomilica
NKG
26%
22%
53%
37 30 7 +1