HNK Sibenik vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.5%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.9%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
+4
7.1%
3-0
10.4%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.1%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
18.1%
9.4%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
DUB
0 - 3
HNS
16%
25%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
HNS
2 - 1
ZMI
70%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
HNS
19%
26%
55%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | -1 |
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
HNS
3 - 0
NKR
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HNS
3 - 1
NKJ
77%
16%
8%
|
65 | 49 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 0
SOL
58%
21%
21%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VUK
0 - 1
NKJ
69%
19%
12%
|
50 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
BIJ
56%
22%
22%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 0
DUB
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
HNS
3 - 1
NKJ
77%
16%
8%
|
49 | 65 | 16 | 0 |