HNK Sibenik vs HNK Cibalia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20%
12.4%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
82
1º
2º
1º
37
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
ORI
5 - 4
HNS
16%
26%
59%
|
67 | 50 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 0
ZRI
65%
21%
14%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 0
BIJ
71%
19%
11%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
SOL
2 - 3
HNS
19%
27%
54%
|
65 | 50 | 15 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
HNS
3 - 0
VUK
60%
23%
17%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
SOL
57%
23%
20%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
VUK
3 - 1
HNK
47%
27%
26%
|
57 | 58 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
HNK
3 - 1
NKJ
58%
23%
19%
|
57 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 1
HNK
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
ZMI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |