HNK Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.3%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.6%
53%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
15.3%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
16.2%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
2º
10º
10º
63
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2024 |
IST
3 - 3
HNS
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2024 |
HNS
0 - 1
RIJ
20%
25%
55%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2024 |
NKV
2 - 1
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 0
HNG
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
HNS
1 - 2
SLA
43%
24%
32%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2024 |
HKS
2 - 2
RIJ
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 0
HKS
22%
27%
52%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 0
DZG
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
OSI
2 - 2
HKS
40%
27%
32%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
HKS
1 - 1
IST
71%
18%
10%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |