HNK Sibenik vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.2%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.6%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
3.4%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8.9%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
68.1%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25%
0-2
13.1%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.1%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
3º
10º
10º
71
1º
2º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Sibenik
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
OSI
1 - 1
HNS
68%
21%
11%
|
65 | 83 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
1 - 2
DZG
14%
23%
64%
|
65 | 85 | 20 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
NKV
2 - 2
HNS
56%
24%
20%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2022 |
HNS
0 - 0
IST
43%
27%
30%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
SLA
0 - 0
HNS
50%
26%
24%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
HKS
5 - 1
SLA
72%
18%
9%
|
84 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
OSI
2 - 1
HKS
31%
26%
43%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
0 - 2
VIL
22%
24%
55%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
HKS
2 - 1
LOK
64%
20%
16%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2022 |
VIL
4 - 2
HKS
67%
19%
14%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |