Jadran KS vs Zmaj Makarska analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.5%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.3%
39.2%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
20.6%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Jadran KS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
OMI
3 - 1
HJK
42%
25%
34%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
SPL
4 - 0
HJK
77%
15%
8%
|
34 | 52 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
NKD
4 - 0
HJK
59%
22%
19%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
HJK
0 - 0
NER
54%
22%
23%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2009 |
NKC
2 - 1
HJK
38%
25%
37%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Zmaj Makarska
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 May. 2009 |
MAK
2 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
NKD
1 - 3
MAK
54%
24%
23%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | +2 |
| 20 May. 2009 |
MAK
2 - 3
NER
52%
24%
24%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
NKC
0 - 1
MAK
35%
26%
39%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
MAK
1 - 0
NKR
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +2 |