HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
29%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
9º
49
4º
6º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
RUD
75%
16%
9%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
1 - 1
KON
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
0 - 3
BUD
77%
15%
8%
|
76 | 56 | 20 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
LOK
35%
25%
40%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2024 |
HNG
3 - 0
TRI
76%
16%
9%
|
76 | 57 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2024 |
NKV
5 - 1
ALR
42%
24%
34%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
BEL
2 - 2
NKV
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2024 |
NKV
1 - 0
SCM
72%
18%
11%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2024 |
NKV
0 - 2
OSI
27%
25%
48%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2024 |
IST
2 - 0
NKV
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |