HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.2%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.4%
2-0
9%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
26%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
7º
10º
9º
46
3º
8º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
81 | 81 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 50 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan. 2023 |
HNG
3 - 1
83%
12%
5%
|
73 | 31 | 42 | 0 |
| 11 Jan. 2023 |
FKA
0 - 2
HNG
19%
21%
60%
|
73 | 60 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2023 |
HNG
0 - 0
RIJ
33%
24%
43%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
HNG
1 - 1
LOK
39%
24%
37%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2022 |
IST
0 - 1
HNG
33%
25%
43%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2023 |
NKV
2 - 1
DOM
39%
24%
38%
|
70 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2022 |
SLA
2 - 1
NKV
44%
25%
31%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Dec. 2022 |
LEC
2 - 0
NKV
66%
19%
15%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2022 |
NKV
1 - 2
OSI
28%
25%
47%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
NKV
0 - 3
RIJ
29%
24%
47%
|
72 | 79 | 7 | -1 |