HNK Gorica vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.3%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
14.3%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.8%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.8%
9.5%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
HNS
1 - 3
HNG
20%
24%
56%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
DZG
3 - 2
HNG
64%
20%
16%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NKR
3 - 4
HNG
19%
22%
59%
|
80 | 63 | 17 | -1 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
HNG
2 - 1
HKS
41%
25%
34%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
OSI
2 - 1
HNG
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2020 |
LOK
2 - 2
NKV
72%
18%
10%
|
65 | 81 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
NKV
1 - 3
HNS
49%
26%
25%
|
66 | 66 | 0 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2020 |
NKV
1 - 2
SLA
44%
26%
30%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2020 |
RIJ
2 - 1
NKV
74%
16%
9%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | -2 |
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NKV
2 - 0
HNK
75%
16%
9%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |