HNK Gorica vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
14.3%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.4%
17.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
HNG
1 - 0
NKR
36%
27%
38%
|
64 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
KUS
1 - 1
HNG
25%
29%
47%
|
64 | 50 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
HNG
3 - 0
HAJ
66%
22%
13%
|
63 | 53 | 10 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2017 |
SOL
0 - 0
HNG
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2017 |
NKV
3 - 0
HNG
24%
27%
49%
|
64 | 53 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 2018 |
LUK
1 - 1
ZAG
33%
29%
38%
|
58 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
NKR
2 - 0
LUK
64%
22%
15%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LUK
2 - 1
KUS
58%
23%
19%
|
58 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2018 |
HAJ
3 - 3
LUK
36%
25%
39%
|
58 | 53 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2018 |
LUK
5 - 1
VRB
73%
19%
8%
|
58 | 36 | 22 | 0 |