HNK Gorica vs HNK Hajduk Split analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.3%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.7%
45.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.5%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
6º
10º
9º
63
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 48 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
48 | 48 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 30 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Gorica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2025 |
RIJ
2 - 1
HNG
64%
22%
14%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2025 |
HNS
0 - 0
HNG
40%
28%
32%
|
75 | 72 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HNG
1 - 0
DZG
21%
25%
55%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
OSI
0 - 1
HNG
60%
24%
16%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
HNG
3 - 2
IST
34%
29%
38%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Hajduk Split
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 3
DZG
40%
26%
35%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2025 |
OSI
2 - 0
HKS
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2025 |
HKS
0 - 1
IST
59%
23%
18%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2025 |
NKV
1 - 1
HKS
29%
28%
43%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2025 |
HKS
1 - 1
LOK
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |