HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
45.5%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
58
3º
12º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2023 |
NKJ
2 - 0
HNK
48%
24%
28%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
DUB
50%
25%
25%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2023 |
ZMI
5 - 1
HNK
40%
26%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
NKD
4 - 0
HNK
41%
27%
31%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2023 |
HNK
0 - 1
NKR
33%
26%
40%
|
56 | 61 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 0
ORI
69%
18%
12%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2023 |
ZRI
1 - 0
VUK
36%
28%
36%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2023 |
VUK
1 - 1
HNS
38%
27%
35%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2023 |
VUK
2 - 2
SOL
69%
19%
12%
|
62 | 50 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2023 |
BIJ
1 - 3
VUK
24%
27%
49%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | 0 |