HNK Cibalia vs Vukovar '91 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
62.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
10%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.1%
16.8%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ZAG
3 - 0
HNK
58%
23%
19%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
HNK
1 - 3
KIV
47%
26%
27%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
HNK
2 - 0
SLA
34%
28%
38%
|
66 | 75 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
MEI
3 - 1
HNK
42%
25%
33%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
HNK
3 - 1
IST
41%
29%
30%
|
66 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Vukovar '91
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2006 |
INT
2 - 1
VUK
67%
20%
14%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2006 |
VUK
1 - 5
NKC
64%
22%
14%
|
57 | 45 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 2006 |
NKS
2 - 1
VUK
48%
25%
27%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
IMO
1 - 1
VUK
30%
27%
42%
|
58 | 50 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
VUK
0 - 2
HAS
68%
20%
12%
|
59 | 43 | 16 | -1 |