HNK Cibalia vs HNK Orijent Rijeka analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
23.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+60%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
33
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
ZRI
2 - 0
HNK
61%
23%
16%
|
51 | 62 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
HNK
6 - 0
DIL
42%
23%
35%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 3
RIJ
6%
15%
79%
|
51 | 83 | 32 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 3
HNS
20%
26%
54%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | -1 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
SOL
0 - 3
HNK
44%
24%
32%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
HNK Orijent Rijeka
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2024 |
BIJ
2 - 2
ORI
48%
23%
29%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
ORI
4 - 2
NKG
29%
22%
50%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
TAS
0 - 2
ORI
58%
20%
22%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
ORI
1 - 1
TOD
20%
21%
59%
|
46 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2024 |
ORI
0 - 0
NKP
20%
23%
57%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |