HNK Cibalia vs NK Varazdin analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.8%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.6%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.7%
30.4%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
ZAG
0 - 0
HNK
60%
22%
18%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
VUK
0 - 0
HNK
34%
26%
41%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
HNK
2 - 2
HKS
22%
25%
54%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
IST
3 - 0
HNK
34%
28%
38%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 1999 |
HNK
2 - 0
HDR
46%
26%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
NK Varazdin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 1999 |
NKV
0 - 3
DZG
33%
27%
40%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1999 |
HKS
2 - 0
NKV
73%
17%
10%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 1999 |
HDR
0 - 1
NKV
42%
26%
31%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 1999 |
NKV
2 - 0
OSI
40%
25%
35%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1999 |
SLA
2 - 1
NKV
46%
25%
29%
|
76 | 71 | 5 | -1 |