HNK Cibalia vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.7%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
20.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
9º
5º
37
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
BIJ
2 - 3
HNK
48%
25%
27%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2025 |
HNK
3 - 1
RUD
44%
26%
30%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 03 May. 2025 |
VUK
4 - 2
HNK
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 68 | 13 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
HNK
0 - 2
OPA
24%
26%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2025 |
NKR
1 - 2
HNK
63%
22%
16%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2025 |
NKJ
3 - 0
ZRI
66%
19%
15%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2025 |
NKD
2 - 1
NKJ
35%
28%
37%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2025 |
ZMI
0 - 1
NKJ
43%
26%
30%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2025 |
NKJ
0 - 5
BIJ
48%
25%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2025 |
RUD
0 - 2
NKJ
59%
23%
18%
|
52 | 56 | 4 | +1 |