HNK Cibalia vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.6%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
25.3%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
9º
5º
37
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
46 | 46 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
9 | 9 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
BIJ
0 - 4
HNK
46%
25%
29%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
HNK
2 - 0
RUD
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 5
VUK
25%
27%
48%
|
52 | 63 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2024 |
NKR
2 - 1
HNK
64%
20%
15%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
HNK
1 - 1
NKJ
50%
24%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NKD
0 - 0
NKJ
35%
25%
40%
|
53 | 52 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
NKJ
2 - 2
NKD
54%
23%
24%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
ZRI
0 - 2
NKJ
67%
21%
12%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NKJ
1 - 0
DUB
51%
23%
26%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
SEG
5 - 1
NKJ
19%
21%
60%
|
52 | 38 | 14 | -1 |