HNK Cibalia vs NK Jarun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.7%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.8%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
19.4%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-5%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
37
3º
9º
8º
40
4º
11º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
82 | 82 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
37 | 37 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 36 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
DUB
1 - 1
HNK
38%
26%
36%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 0
ZMI
56%
23%
21%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
HNK
25%
25%
50%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
NKJ
2 - 1
HNK
35%
26%
39%
|
56 | 49 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2023 |
HNK
1 - 1
RUD
32%
27%
41%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
NK Jarun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2023 |
NKJ
4 - 2
ORI
40%
25%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
ZRI
2 - 0
NKJ
51%
26%
23%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2023 |
MZL
1 - 3
NKJ
55%
23%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2023 |
NKJ
1 - 2
TRN
64%
19%
17%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2023 |
DUB
5 - 1
NKJ
49%
23%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |