HNK Cibalia vs Neretva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.4%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.4%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.8%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.8%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.2%
12.9%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12.9%
5.6%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2003 |
HNK
0 - 1
RIJ
50%
25%
25%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 4
MAR
61%
22%
18%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2003 |
DZG
3 - 2
HNK
80%
14%
7%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2003 |
HNK
2 - 0
NKV
30%
25%
45%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2003 |
ZAD
4 - 1
HNK
40%
28%
32%
|
74 | 65 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Neretva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jun. 1995 |
ZAD
2 - 0
NER
68%
21%
11%
|
52 | 69 | 17 | 0 |
| 31 May. 1995 |
NER
1 - 4
HKS
17%
28%
56%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 May. 1995 |
OSI
2 - 0
NER
88%
9%
3%
|
53 | 82 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 May. 1995 |
NER
3 - 3
MAR
34%
29%
37%
|
52 | 67 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 1995 |
NER
1 - 1
DZG
14%
26%
61%
|
52 | 85 | 33 | 0 |