HNK Cibalia vs Lučko analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.4%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.5%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
15%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
15.9%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
10.8%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
OSI
1 - 2
HNK
47%
27%
26%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
HNK
2 - 0
KAR
66%
22%
12%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
SLA
0 - 1
HNK
53%
26%
22%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
HNK
2 - 2
DZG
25%
26%
49%
|
75 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2011 |
VIN
1 - 1
HNK
36%
26%
38%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Lučko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
LUK
0 - 4
DZG
14%
23%
63%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2012 |
SPL
1 - 1
LUK
72%
18%
10%
|
63 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
LUK
0 - 1
ZAG
35%
26%
39%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2011 |
LUK
1 - 1
RIJ
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 71 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ZAD
1 - 0
LUK
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | -1 |