HNK Cibalia vs Lokomotiva analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.7%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
27.1%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.1%
26.2%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HNK Cibalia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2012 |
ZAG
0 - 1
HNK
46%
27%
28%
|
68 | 65 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
HNK
0 - 0
ZAD
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
SPL
3 - 1
HNK
58%
24%
18%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
HNK
0 - 1
IST
54%
26%
20%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2012 |
HNK
1 - 1
INT
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lokomotiva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
LOK
1 - 3
DZG
17%
25%
58%
|
69 | 85 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2012 |
SLA
3 - 2
LOK
64%
22%
15%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 0
HKS
24%
26%
50%
|
68 | 80 | 12 | +1 |
| 11 Aug. 2012 |
RIJ
2 - 2
LOK
47%
27%
26%
|
68 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2012 |
LOK
0 - 0
OSI
41%
28%
31%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |