HMSH vs GOES analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.9%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.5%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.7%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
66.8%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.3%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20%
0-3
7.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.8%
0-4
4.4%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HMSH
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
POO
6 - 0
HMS
49%
22%
29%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
HMS
1 - 4
RKA
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
SJC
7 - 1
HMS
80%
12%
8%
|
21 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
HMS
3 - 5
ALP
16%
19%
65%
|
22 | 40 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2014 |
PFC
1 - 2
HMS
18%
21%
62%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
GOES
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
GOE
4 - 0
XER
53%
22%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
GDA
0 - 3
GOE
17%
20%
64%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
DED
2 - 5
GOE
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
GOE
6 - 3
FCB
81%
12%
7%
|
37 | 22 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
VOC
1 - 1
GOE
55%
22%
24%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |