HJK Helsinki vs VPS Vaasa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
47.8%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
27.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.5%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
12º
2º
32
1º
6º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
44 | 44 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
43 | 43 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
39 | 39 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
35 | 35 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
32 | 32 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
13 | 13 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
INT
0 - 1
HJK
28%
26%
47%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
HJK
0 - 0
EKE
73%
17%
10%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
HAK
1 - 1
HJK
27%
26%
48%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
SEI
3 - 3
HJK
29%
26%
45%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
HJK
2 - 1
IFK
72%
18%
10%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
VPS Vaasa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2024 |
KUO
2 - 1
VAA
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 0
FCL
70%
19%
11%
|
75 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
OUL
1 - 2
VAA
23%
25%
52%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VAA
3 - 2
GNI
60%
22%
18%
|
74 | 64 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2024 |
VAA
1 - 1
SEI
58%
24%
19%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |