Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-3
HJK Helsinki vs Vetra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
22.8%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2009 |
TPS
1 - 1
HJK
42%
26%
32%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
VET
0 - 1
HJK
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
KUO
0 - 3
HJK
20%
26%
54%
|
78 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2009 |
FCE
0 - 1
HJK
14%
20%
66%
|
78 | 38 | 40 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2009 |
FFJ
0 - 2
HJK
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Vetra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2009 |
VET
0 - 1
HJK
47%
26%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2009 |
VET
3 - 0
GRE
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 66 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2009 |
GRE
0 - 3
VET
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
KRU
0 - 3
VET
16%
25%
59%
|
78 | 47 | 31 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
SUD
1 - 1
VET
54%
25%
22%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |