UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 4-1
HJK Helsinki vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 3
HJK
42%
26%
33%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2015 |
ROP
2 - 1
HJK
30%
28%
43%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2015 |
HJK
1 - 1
HIF
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 67 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2015 |
INT
3 - 0
HJK
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2015 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
18%
25%
57%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jul. 2015 |
VEN
1 - 3
HJK
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2015 |
VEN
3 - 3
LIE
50%
27%
23%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2015 |
FCS
1 - 1
VEN
45%
25%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2015 |
VEN
3 - 0
BFC
73%
19%
9%
|
77 | 53 | 24 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2015 |
VEN
2 - 0
FKS
61%
24%
16%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | +1 |