Q. Europa League Preliminary Round Final
Global 3-1
HJK Helsinki vs Ventspils analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
26.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2001 |
ATL
1 - 0
HJK
19%
25%
56%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2001 |
FCJ
0 - 2
HJK
27%
26%
47%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2001 |
HJK
1 - 2
ATL
79%
14%
7%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2001 |
ROP
0 - 3
HJK
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 Jul. 2001 |
KUO
0 - 4
HJK
22%
26%
52%
|
78 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Ventspils
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 1
LIE
49%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2001 |
VEN
2 - 0
FCD
87%
10%
3%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2001 |
DIN
1 - 4
VEN
38%
26%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2001 |
VEN
6 - 1
FKR
86%
11%
3%
|
78 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2001 |
VAL
1 - 2
VEN
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |