Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 2-4
HJK Helsinki vs KF Shkëndija analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
22.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2017 |
ILV
1 - 1
HJK
30%
27%
43%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 1
HJK
39%
25%
36%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
HJK
3 - 0
CON
67%
20%
14%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2017 |
INT
1 - 1
HJK
29%
27%
44%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
CON
1 - 0
HJK
23%
23%
53%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 1
HJK
39%
25%
36%
|
72 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2017 |
DAC
0 - 4
SHK
52%
24%
24%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 Jun. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 0
DAC
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | +2 |
| 20 Jun. 2017 |
MAR
1 - 1
SHK
58%
22%
20%
|
69 | 76 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2017 |
SHK
3 - 1
PEL
57%
23%
19%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | 0 |