UCL Qualifying First Round Final
Global 2-2
HJK Helsinki vs FK RFS analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
37.6%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.1%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.1%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
38.9%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.6%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+21%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2022 |
HJK
1 - 1
KUO
42%
25%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2022 |
INT
0 - 0
HJK
46%
24%
30%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
IFK
2 - 1
HJK
18%
25%
57%
|
76 | 58 | 18 | -1 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
HJK
0 - 1
OUL
73%
18%
10%
|
76 | 61 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2022 |
VAA
0 - 0
HJK
24%
24%
51%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
FK RFS
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jun. 2022 |
RIG
4 - 0
BFC
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2022 |
FKS
0 - 2
RIG
17%
22%
62%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Jun. 2022 |
VAL
4 - 0
RIG
37%
25%
39%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
RIG
2 - 2
LIE
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2022 |
CAR
2 - 0
RIG
34%
25%
41%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |