UCL Qualifying 2nd Round Final
Global 2-1
HJK Helsinki vs Rabotnički analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.2%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.3%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.2%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.2%
13.6%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.5%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
HJK
2 - 0
SEI
60%
22%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
RAB
0 - 0
HJK
34%
24%
42%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2014 |
KUO
2 - 2
HJK
33%
26%
41%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2014 |
HJK
0 - 0
FCL
58%
23%
19%
|
78 | 74 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2014 |
IFK
0 - 2
HJK
31%
26%
43%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Rabotnički
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2014 |
RAB
0 - 0
HJK
34%
24%
42%
|
68 | 78 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2014 |
HTR
1 - 0
RAB
47%
26%
28%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
RAB
2 - 0
GOR
72%
18%
11%
|
69 | 59 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2014 |
RAB
2 - 0
MET
53%
23%
25%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
RAB
3 - 1
VAR
56%
24%
20%
|
69 | 69 | 0 | 0 |