HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.1%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
2º
11º
4º
12
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
33 | 44 |
1º
|
52.5% | |
|
2º
|
32 | 42 |
2º
|
36% | |
|
3º
|
30 | 40 |
3º
|
32.5% | |
|
|
4º
|
26 | 37 |
4º
|
35.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 36 |
5º
|
40% | |
|
6º
|
20 | 31 |
6º
|
36.5% | |
|
7º
|
18 | 29 |
7º
|
30.5% | |
|
10º
|
15 | 26 |
8º
|
30.5% | |
|
9º
|
15 | 23 |
9º
|
19% | |
|
8º
|
16 | 21 |
10º
|
21% | |
|
|
11º
|
12 | 20 |
11º
|
27% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 17 |
12º
|
57% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
97.5% | 2% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
2.5% | 98% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jul. 2025 |
HJK
5 - 0
NSI
63%
19%
17%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2025 |
NSI
4 - 0
HJK
21%
21%
58%
|
77 | 61 | 16 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2025 |
VAA
0 - 2
HJK
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Jul. 2025 |
HJK
2 - 3
FFJ
62%
22%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2025 |
KUO
3 - 0
HJK
40%
26%
34%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
AC Oulu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2025 |
OUL
3 - 2
KOO
47%
24%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 2
KUO
34%
27%
39%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 1
VAA
27%
25%
49%
|
68 | 77 | 9 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2025 |
OUL
2 - 0
SEI
24%
23%
54%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | +1 |
| 18 Jun. 2025 |
FFJ
2 - 1
OUL
36%
25%
39%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |