HJK Helsinki vs AC Oulu analysis

HJK Helsinki AC Oulu
77 ELO 70
3.2% Tilt 6.8%
921º General ELO ranking 1914º
Country ELO ranking 13º
ELO win probability
53%
HJK Helsinki
23.8%
Draw
23.2%
AC Oulu

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53%
Win probability
HJK Helsinki
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.2%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.2%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
23.2%
Win probability
AC Oulu
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.1%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
HJK Helsinki
+13%
-1%
AC Oulu

Points and table prediction

HJK Helsinki
Their league position
AC Oulu
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
26
11º
12
10º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Inter Turku
33
44
52.5%
Ilves
32
42
36%
KuPS Kuopio
30
40
32.5%
HJK Helsinki
26
37
35.5%
SJK
25
36
40%
Gnistan
20
31
36.5%
VPS Vaasa
18
29
30.5%
FC Haka
10º
15
26
30.5%
FF Jaro
15
23
19%
IFK Mariehamn
16
21
10º
21%
AC Oulu
11º
12
20
11º
27%
FC KTP
12º
10
17
12º
57%
Expected probabilities
HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
Play-offs for the title
97.5% 2%
Relegation play-offs
2.5% 98%

ELO progression

HJK Helsinki
AC Oulu
IFK Mariehamn
Inter Turku
Gnistan
FF Jaro
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

HJK Helsinki
HJK Helsinki
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Jul. 2025
HJK
HJK Helsinki
5 - 0
NSÍ Runavík
NSI
63%
19%
17%
76 63 13 0
10 Jul. 2025
NSI
NSÍ Runavík
4 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
21%
21%
58%
77 61 16 -1
05 Jul. 2025
VAA
VPS Vaasa
0 - 2
HJK Helsinki
HJK
42%
26%
32%
77 77 0 0
02 Jul. 2025
HJK
HJK Helsinki
2 - 3
FF Jaro
FFJ
62%
22%
16%
77 66 11 0
27 Jun. 2025
KUO
KuPS Kuopio
3 - 0
HJK Helsinki
HJK
40%
26%
34%
77 75 2 0

Matches

AC Oulu
AC Oulu
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jul. 2025
OUL
AC Oulu
3 - 2
FC KTP
KOO
47%
24%
29%
70 64 6 0
04 Jul. 2025
OUL
AC Oulu
2 - 2
KuPS Kuopio
KUO
34%
27%
39%
70 77 7 0
28 Jun. 2025
OUL
AC Oulu
2 - 1
VPS Vaasa
VAA
27%
25%
49%
68 77 9 +2
24 Jun. 2025
OUL
AC Oulu
2 - 0
SJK
SEI
24%
23%
54%
67 77 10 +1
18 Jun. 2025
FFJ
FF Jaro
2 - 1
AC Oulu
OUL
36%
25%
39%
67 64 3 0