Q. Europa League Third Round Final
Global 1-7
HJK Helsinki vs Olimpija Ljubljana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.8%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
22.6%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.3%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
HJK
44%
25%
31%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2018 |
HJK
2 - 2
ROP
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2018 |
HJK
1 - 2
BAT
47%
24%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2018 |
HON
1 - 2
HJK
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2018 |
BAT
0 - 0
HJK
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Olimpija Ljubljana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Aug. 2018 |
TRI
0 - 4
OLI
29%
28%
43%
|
77 | 64 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
3 - 0
HJK
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2018 |
OLI
2 - 2
CEL
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2018 |
CRU
1 - 1
OLI
40%
25%
35%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2018 |
KRS
0 - 0
OLI
24%
28%
48%
|
77 | 63 | 14 | 0 |