UCL Qualifying Second round Final
Global 2-3
HJK Helsinki vs MTK Budapest analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
8%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25%
28.4%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
HJK Helsinki
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
HJK
2 - 0
FCL
68%
20%
13%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
MTK
3 - 1
HJK
55%
24%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
2 - 1
INT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2003 |
HJK
1 - 0
GLE
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 72 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
FCJ
2 - 6
HJK
22%
27%
51%
|
77 | 59 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
MTK Budapest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2003 |
ZTE
1 - 3
MTK
49%
23%
28%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2003 |
MTK
3 - 1
HJK
55%
24%
21%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2003 |
MTK
2 - 1
SOP
67%
20%
13%
|
79 | 68 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2003 |
MTK
2 - 0
FTC
48%
24%
28%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2003 |
UJP
0 - 1
MTK
49%
23%
27%
|
79 | 78 | 1 | 0 |